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| Louis Levy-Garboua*, Muniza Askari, Marco Gazel |
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| Dimitri Defrance, Esther Delesalle, Flore Gubert* |
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| Do drought episodes in Mali cause mass migrations? |
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| Recurring warnings from IPCC experts about the magnitude of future climate disruption are often accompanied by very alarming messages about the number of climatic or environmental migrants likely to arrive at Europe’s doorstep. While the influence of the climate on human mobility is undeniable and documented throughout history… |
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| Catherine Doz*, Laurent Ferrara, Pierre-Alain Pionnier |
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| Comment prévoir le cycle économique après la récession de 2008-2009 ? |
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| Les prévisions macroéconomiques sont souvent effectuées en séparant deux objectifs : la prévision du taux de croissance de la variable considérée (souvent le PIB) et une prévision plus qualitative, celle des points de retournement du cycle économique. Or la « récession » de 2008-09… |
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| How to forecast economic cycles after the 2008-2009 recession? |
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| Macroeconomic forecasts are often made by separating two objectives: to provide the growth rate of the variable under consideration (usually GDP) and a more qualitative prediction, of the turning points in the economic cycle. Yet the 2008-09 “recession”… |
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| Irena Grosfeld*, Seyhun Orcan Sakalli, Ekaterina Zhuravskaya** |
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